Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.429225 0.496035 0.568941 0.654289 0.751343 0.858153 0.984478
2025-08-10 0.312606 0.402454 0.510394 0.649067 0.821887 1.029514 1.297152
2025-08-17 0.245530 0.342661 0.467969 0.640289 0.869736 1.163185 1.565118
2025-08-24 0.200960 0.300006 0.435566 0.632705 0.909712 1.282290 1.817947
2025-08-31 0.164357 0.260639 0.399545 0.611785 0.924411 1.363721 2.022302
2025-09-07 0.150183 0.250808 0.402649 0.644562 1.015296 1.555642 2.394283
2025-09-14 0.127082 0.223360 0.375198 0.627192 1.028509 1.634397 2.606577
2025-09-21 0.108351 0.199883 0.350368 0.609862 1.038173 1.706237 2.811525
2025-09-28 0.093575 0.180741 0.329797 0.596236 1.050953 1.781999 3.026238
2025-10-05 0.085780 0.172684 0.326629 0.610773 1.110295 1.935122 3.374367
2025-10-12 0.081355 0.170120 0.332514 0.641134 1.198449 2.141151 3.823288
2025-10-19 0.075439 0.163827 0.330787 0.657359 1.262850 2.311470 4.223856
2025-10-26 0.068449 0.154646 0.322987 0.662254 1.308652 2.455589 4.594557
2025-11-02 0.061379 0.144312 0.311786 0.659533 1.340274 2.577479 4.936220
2025-11-09 0.054598 0.133558 0.298377 0.650828 1.359341 2.677556 5.245252
2025-11-16 0.048779 0.124029 0.286244 0.643144 1.379197 2.779797 5.564541
2025-11-23 0.042539 0.112555 0.268556 0.621906 1.369828 2.825782 5.781146
2025-11-30 0.041304 0.112794 0.276288 0.655183 1.473689 3.095628 6.441443
2025-12-07 0.036450 0.103393 0.261352 0.637549 1.470156 3.155164 6.697941
2025-12-14 0.032186 0.094800 0.247177 0.619954 1.464794 3.210052 6.948134
2025-12-21 0.028652 0.087552 0.235257 0.606119 1.466070 3.277971 7.228315
2025-12-28 0.027093 0.085437 0.235549 0.620879 1.531868 3.483596 7.802937
2026-01-04 0.026478 0.085886 0.242277 0.651703 1.636454 3.777582 8.579082